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When Iran Goes Nuclear

The Islamic Republic will be even more aggressive toward Israel and improve its standing with Russia and China.
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks during a meeting in Tehran on October 25, 2023. (Photo by Iranian Leader Press Office/Handout/Anadolu/Getty Images)

Since the October 7 Hamas assault on Israel, Iran’s allied militias and proxies have launched missiles and drones at international shipping and U.S. troops. Hezbollah, the crown jewel in the Islamic Republic’s “ring of fire” around the Jewish state, has dueled with the Israeli Defense Forces, driving nearly 100,000 Israelis from their homes.

Eric S. Edelman was undersecretary of defense for policy (2005-2009) and has served as the co-chair for the congressionally mandated Commissions to review the National Defense Strategy in 2018 and 2024.

Reuel Marc Gerecht, a former Iranian-targets officer in the CIA’s Directorate of Operations, is a resident scholar at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies.

Ray Takeyh is a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations.

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