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A Hill of Beans to Die On

Trump’s first trade war with China prompted structural changes that are playing out today.
A person walking in a field
A soybean farmer inspects a soybean field ready for harvesting in Cordova, Maryland, on October 10, 2025. (Photo by ROBERTO SCHMIDT/AFP via Getty Images)

To understand the idiotic trade war with China launched by Donald Trump in his second administration, study the idiotic trade war with China launched by Donald Trump in his first administration. 

When Trump took office in 2017, the negative balance of trade with China—the so-called trade deficit—was about $375 billion.

Kevin D. Williamson is national correspondent at The Dispatch and is based in Virginia. Prior to joining the company in 2022, he spent 15 years as a writer and editor at National Review, worked as the theater critic at the New Criterion, and had a long career in local newspapers. He is also a writer in residence at the Competitive Enterprise Institute. When Kevin is not reporting on the world outside Washington for his Wanderland newsletter, you can find him at the rifle range or reading a book about literally almost anything other than politics.

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